Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.706669 2.127094 2.677260 3.473341 4.638585 6.358930 9.260964
2025-02-02 1.211934 1.682776 2.409067 3.702902 6.198752 11.545397 27.321408
2025-02-09 0.930467 1.376323 2.136873 3.694234 7.395924 18.491472 83.849177
2025-02-16 0.747629 1.151731 1.888465 3.552174 8.196471 27.044007 308.527492
2025-02-23 0.648078 1.035845 1.787792 3.655799 9.836971 46.475979 6698.291499
2025-03-02 0.581689 0.960749 1.738242 3.853656 12.206078 92.729644 NaN
2025-03-09 0.518690 0.877047 1.642732 3.874805 14.063545 177.430664 NaN
2025-03-16 0.457550 0.785052 1.503062 3.691921 14.733520 289.692701 NaN
2025-03-23 0.426804 0.749053 1.484641 3.895035 18.343472 1068.187157 NaN
2025-03-30 0.394014 0.702930 1.429288 3.943357 21.299784 5999.138034 NaN
2025-04-06 0.360295 0.649675 1.343479 3.834989 22.861847 83701.519967 NaN
2025-04-13 0.332506 0.605671 1.272912 3.756527 24.786695 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.321928 0.599389 1.305282 4.153741 35.234678 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.308214 0.584002 1.309221 4.441762 47.938360 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.288734 0.552385 1.258522 4.429281 55.635665 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.267873 0.515042 1.183397 4.246766 58.087536 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.255707 0.497346 1.165414 4.379597 74.385079 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.246748 0.486379 1.166349 4.634336 105.646967 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.234727 0.466352 1.133866 4.661643 130.019206 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.219812 0.437562 1.067475 4.425994 130.164341 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.213494 0.430080 1.071584 4.687781 199.202995 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.204879 0.415754 1.049526 4.750269 264.072141 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.194454 0.395770 1.004405 4.610242 289.082203 NaN NaN